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Current Crop of GOP White House Candidates Cannot Beat Obama.

April 14, 2010

Obama vs. Potential GOP Candidates

The poll FiveThirtyEight to the right is one of the most fascinating and most frustrating that I have ever studied.

In the “Generic” poll; would you prefer President Obama or a Republican President in 2012?, a slight majority of the respondents said that they would prefer a Republican President over President Obama.  Good news for Republicans, right?.  Um, no.

The problem is, when asked, do you prefer Barak Obama or “named candidate” in 2012?, the President beats each of the named candidates by at least 5 points.  Against every one of the Republicans, Obama’s numbers improved 5 points or more than they were against the “generic” Republican candidate.

This tells us that the he American people want a Republican President, they just do not want any of the usual suspects.  Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich, Jeb Bush and Sarah Palin can all have a seat, the voters want “somebody else”.

I believe the 2012 race for the White House is going to be a fascinating one.  President Obama has been willing to sacrifice the first two years of his Presidency in order to ensure an advantageous battleground for his 2012 re-election bid.  That, combined with the lack of a Republican “leader” bodes well for the President.

The answer for Republicans is that their candidate, most likely, will be one we do not already know.  Much like Obama did in 2008, the Republican nominee will probably come out of nowhere to take on the President in 2012.  If not, if one of the “usual suspects” wins the 2012 nomination, President Obama could very well vault from one of the worst one term Presidents that we have ever had to the undisputed worst two term Presidents in American history.

Below, vote for the “usual suspect” that has the best chance against President Obama.  Mention why or your “other” 2012 candidate in the comments section.

And for all you Paulites who want to point to today’s Rasmussen poll showing Ron Paul just one point behind Obama (42-41), a more detailed look into the numbers might be in order.

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